Saiga numbers crashed after the early 1990s as governance and anti-poaching systems weakened across their range. Males were targeted for horns used in traditional medicine, while meat hunting affected both sexes. The global population fell from more than 1.5 million to around 50,000.
Protection, enforcement, customs work and cooperation with steppe communities reversed much of that decline. Kazakhstan, which holds nearly all of the nominate population, recorded an increase of about 1,100 percent between 2015 and 2022. Recent surveys put the Ural population alone above 1.6 million in 2025. These gains led the IUCN to assess the global species as Near Threatened rather than Critically Endangered.
The change does not mean conservation work is finished. Illegal horn trade persists. Fences and transport corridors constrain migration. Conflict has increased where recovering herds share pasture with livestock. Most importantly, saigas remain susceptible to sudden mass mortality. In May 2015, warm and humid conditions helped normally harmless Pasteurella multocida bacteria invade the bloodstream, killing about 200,000 animals in the Betpak-Dala population within weeks.
Recovery has therefore created a new management problem: maintain protection while reducing conflict and preserving movement for an animal whose numbers can rise or fall extraordinarily fast.