The narwhal is listed as Near Threatened, with a global population estimated around 170,000 to 190,000. Its natural predators are orcas and — at breathing holes — polar bears, but the largest pressure is climate change. Shrinking sea ice disrupts the whole cycle: it opens the Arctic to more orcas, shifts the distribution of the narrow range of prey narwhals depend on, and clears the way for shipping, seismic oil exploration, and fishing.
Narwhals are also very sensitive to underwater noise, which can mask their echolocation and calls and cause chronic stress. They remain subject to regulated subsistence hunting by Inuit communities in Canada and Greenland for meat, muktuk, and ivory. Their long-term future depends mainly on curbing greenhouse-gas emissions and protecting key High Arctic waters.